Document Type : Research articles

Authors

1 MSc, Student Research Committee, School of Health, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran

2 PhD, Associate Professor, Department of Epidemiology, School of Health, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran

3 PhD, Assistant Professor, Department of Management Sciences and Health Economics, School of Health, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran

4 4 Associate Professor, Social Determinants of Health Research Center, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran

Abstract

Background: Misunderstanding of disaster hinders people from devoting enough attention to disaster preparedness programs. Flood is one of the main natural hazards in Iran.
Objectives: The present study aimed to determine flood risk perception among residents of a flood-prone area in Iran in 2021.
Methods: This cross-sectional study was conducted on 201 inhabitants of three villages along the Hesar-Golestan River in northeast Iran. A researcher-made questionnaire was used to assess their flood risk perception and opinions about the causes of the flood. Flood risk perception was assessed using ten questions with a 5-point Likert scale. Risk perception was calculated at three levels: low (scores 10 to 23), medium (scores 24 to 37), and high (scores 38 to 50). Multi-stage sampling technique was used for sampling.
Results: The majority of participants (81%) had a moderate risk perception. The mean risk perception score was 30±5, which indicates a moderate risk perception. According to the participants, the three main causes of floods were environmental degradation and soil erosion, unplanned development and construction in flood-prone areas, and heavy seasonal rainfall, respectively. There was a significant relationship between gender and age with some opinions about the causes of floods.
Conclusion: The risk perception of participants was at a moderate level. Low or moderate flood risk perception can lead to insufficient attention, inaction, or insufficient efforts to reduce the risk and increase preparedness for floods. Taking measures such as educating people about the causes and consequences of floods using appropriate and effective methods can help to manage disasters better.

Keywords

  1. World Bank Site. GDP per capita (current US$). 2022. Available from: http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.PCAP.CD?
  2. locations=IR&name_desc=true.
  3. Global assessment report on disaster risk reduction. 2015. Available from: https://www.preventionweb.net/english/
  4. hyogo/gar/2015/en/home/data.php.
  5. Mohammadinia L, Ahmadi Marzaleh M, Peyravi MR. Report of field assessment in the flooded areas of Iran, 2019. HDQ. 2021;6(2):73-8. doi: 10.32598/hdq.6.2.190.1.
  6. Koenig KL, Schultz CH. Disaster medicine: comprehensive principles and practices: Cambridge University Press; 2010.
  7. Seyedin H, HabibiSaravi R, Sayfouri N, Hoseini Djenab V, Ghasemi Hamedani F. Psychological sequels of flood on residents of southeast Caspian region. Nat Hazards. 2017;88:965-75. doi: 10.1007/s11069-017-2926-z
  8. Zare M. Floods of April and May 2018 and climate changes in Iran, a special look at floods in Khuzestan province. The Academy of sciences Islamic Republic of Iran. 2018. Available from: https://ias.ac.ir/index.php/2015-09-21-08-02-04/1431.
  9. 20% of areas in Iran at high risk of flood UNDRR. 2020. Available from: https://www.preventionweb.net/news/20-areas-iran-high-risk-flood.
  10. Memarian Khalil Abad H, Yousefi M, Aghakhani Afshar A. Identification of flooding source regions and investigating the impact of watershed management operations on the peak discharge (Case study: Bar watershed, Neyshabour, Iran). JWSC. 2018;25(1):35-59. doi: 10.22069/JWSC.2018.13978.2875.
  11. Azamirad M, Esmaili K. Investigation flooding potential in the Kashafrud watershed, Mashhad the method SCS and GIS. JWMR. 2018;9(17):26-38. doi: 10.29252/jwmr.9.17.26.
  12. Bradford R, O'Sullivan J, Van der Craats I, Krywkow J, Rotko P, Aaltonen J, et al. Risk perception – issues for flood management in Europe. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci. 2012;12(7):2299-309. doi: 10.5194/nhess-12-2299-2012
  13. World Health Organization. Regional office for the Eastern M. Islamic Republic of Iran health profile 2015. Cairo: World Health Organization; 2016.
  14. Ardalan KH, Mehrabi Tavana A, Nejati A, Masoumi GH, Hajebi A. Health in Emergencies and disasters. Tehran: Mehr Matin; 2016.
  15. Gohram Khan M, Johar F, Ndalai Baba A. Disaster management risk perception of local communities. Kemanusiaan. 2017;26(1):87-94.
  16. Community based approaches to disaster mitigation. Available from: http://unpan1.un.org/intradoc/groups/public/docu
  17. ments/APCITY/UNPAN009661.pdf.
  18. Stewart M, Grahmann M, Ariel F, Benson S. Rural community disaster preparedness and risk perception in Trujillo, Peru. Prehosp Disaster Med. 2017;32(4):387-92. doi: 10.1017/S10
  19. X17006380. [PubMed: 28395673].
  20. Pan A. A Study on residents' risk perception in abrupt geological hazard. J Risk Anal Crisis Response. 2012;2(1):44-55. doi: 10.2991/ijcis.2012.2.1.5.
  21. Buchenrieder G, Brandl J, Balgah AR. The Perception of Flood Risks: A Case Study of Babessi in Rural Cameroon. Int J Disaster Risk Sci. 2021;12:1-21. doi: 10.1007/s13753-021-00345-7.
  22. Hallegatte S, Vogt-Schilb A, Bangalore M, Rozenberg J. Unbreakable: building the resilience of the poor in the face of natural disasters. World Bank Publications; 2016.
  23. Kraus NN, Slovic P. Taxonomic analysis of perceived risk: Modeling individual and group perceptions within homo-geneous hazard domains. Risk Analysis. 1988;8(3):435-55. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.1988.tb00508.x.
  24. Solar O, Irwin A. A conceptual framework for action on the social determinants of health. WHO Document Production Services; 2010.
  25. Kellens W, Zaalberg R, Neutens T, Vanneuville W, De Maeyer P. An analysis of the public perception of flood risk on the Belgian coast. Risk Anal. 2011;31(7):1055-68. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01571.x. [PubMed: 21231949].
  26. Ardaya AB, Evers M, Ribbe L. What influences disaster risk perception? Intervention measures, flood and landslide risk perception of the population living in flood risk areas in Rio de Janeiro state, Brazil. Int J Disaster Risk Reduct. 2017;25:227-37. doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2017.09.006.
  27. Qasim S, Khan AN, Shrestha RP, Qasim M. Risk perception of the people in the flood prone Khyber Pukhthunkhwa province of Pakistan Int J Disaster Risk Reduct. 2015;14:373-8. doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.09.001.
  28. Miceli R, Sotgiu I, Settanni M. Disaster preparedness and perception of flood risk: A study in an alpine valley in Italy. J Environ Psychol. 2008;28(2):164-73. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvp.2007.10.006.
  29. Armas I, Ionescu R, Posner CN. Flood risk perception along the Lower Danube river, Romania. Nat Hazards. 2015;79(3):1913-31. doi: 10.1007/s11069-015-1939-8
  30. Shabanikiya H, Seyedin H, Haghani H, Ebrahimian A. Behavior of crossing flood on foot, associated risk factors and estimating a predictive model. Nat Hazards. 2014;73(2):1119-26. doi: 10.1007/s11069-014-1124-5
  31. Działek J, Biernacki W, Bokwa A. Challenges to social capacity building in flood-affected areas of southern Poland. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci. 2013;13(10):2555-66. doi: 10.5194/nhess-13-2555-2013.
  32. Wang Z, Wang H, Huang J, Kang J, Han D. Analysis of the public flood risk perception in a flood-prone city: The case of Jingdezhen city in China. Water. 2018;10(11):1577. doi: 10.
  33. /w10111577.
  34. Fuchs S, Karagiorgos K, Kitikidou K, Maris F, Paparrizos S, Thaler T. Flood risk perception and adaptation capacity: A contribution to the socio-hydrology debate. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci. 2017;21(6):3183-98. doi: 10.5194/hess-21-3183-2017.
  35. Lace JW, Evans LN, Merz ZC, Handal PJ. Five-Factor Model Personality Traits and Self-Classified Religiousness and Spirituality. J Relig Health. 2020;59(3):1344-69. doi: 10.1007/
  36. s10943-019-00847-1. [PubMed: 31154593].
  37. Schmuck H. " An Act of Allah": Religious Explanations for Floods in Bangladesh as Survival Strategy. International journal of mass emergencies and disasters. 2000;18(1):85-96. doi: 10.1177/028072700001800105.